Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 146.867631 170.140866 197.210931 231.346302 273.703562 325.155668 3.933531e+02
2025-05-25 115.566240 144.373976 181.528111 234.160611 308.865588 414.525028 5.820505e+02
2025-06-01 97.333815 127.596725 169.350785 233.395707 333.531913 492.628327 7.850173e+02
2025-06-08 84.242254 114.403105 158.160210 229.513419 350.049040 561.170597 1.003883e+03
2025-06-15 77.628898 108.937832 156.561778 238.962411 389.377444 681.142002 1.389839e+03
2025-06-22 68.107431 97.609168 143.883220 227.159586 387.432850 721.655616 1.628261e+03
2025-06-29 62.313159 91.222116 138.006148 225.704437 404.241824 807.328581 2.049728e+03
2025-07-06 57.647521 86.019272 133.254408 225.195669 422.582465 904.232466 2.598898e+03
2025-07-13 55.918296 85.375051 136.131362 239.630440 477.313284 1119.849272 3.846078e+03
2025-07-20 54.792708 85.570193 140.449306 257.778747 546.935778 1421.672450 6.069670e+03
2025-07-27 51.818606 82.194418 137.659493 260.274401 578.340520 1626.044711 8.333838e+03
2025-08-03 49.658250 80.036777 136.887562 267.061467 623.858687 1916.501128 1.231148e+04
2025-08-10 46.190984 75.447264 131.339880 263.209847 642.422733 2139.967247 1.726383e+04
2025-08-17 43.694497 72.468579 128.765887 266.332156 685.339600 2528.188775 2.815239e+04
2025-08-24 41.127816 69.087570 124.898716 265.418632 715.454930 2899.143854 4.534119e+04
2025-08-31 38.546990 65.431953 119.990065 260.822348 731.521375 3222.863750 7.130026e+04
2025-09-07 37.419762 64.516282 120.883036 272.015746 811.901235 4106.627948 1.826712e+05
2025-09-14 34.618937 60.009249 113.282679 258.037821 787.603108 4195.678454 2.564472e+05
2025-09-21 32.907649 57.579925 110.130770 256.317200 814.386462 4776.161038 5.928486e+05
2025-09-28 31.419401 55.486931 107.519898 255.715755 846.605371 5504.053450 1.911610e+06
2025-10-05 31.093081 55.773606 110.498691 272.808033 971.620117 7678.306407 2.547903e+08
2025-10-12 30.959194 56.449679 114.504078 294.377908 1138.132136 11443.634120 NaN
2025-10-19 29.867621 54.962787 112.989597 297.350878 1207.174362 14184.370771 NaN